Written by: Steven.Wolverton@unt.edu
I'm sure many of you are wondering what's happening with COVID-19. Some of us are
asking: Is this much ado about nothing? Others are in full panic mode. My opinion?
Neither of those two is a reasonable reaction for several reasons.
- We don't know enough about COVID-19. The data we have based on China is problematic
because of well-founded concerns with under-reporting; only the very sick were being
allowed in the hospitals, which excludes many infected, spreading the virus, but not
counted in official statistics. The geographies are also very different - health care
systems, cultural practices etc.
- The current 14 day quarantine is based on previous coronavirus such as SARS, swine
flu etc., but some research suggests that some infected individuals do not develop
symptoms until after that period (more here).
- The initial CDC test had some problems that had to be fixed so delayed diagnosis may
have fueled the US spread. Also initially only people with known potential risk, i.e.,
previous travel to China, were tested (more here).
- COVID-19 appears to be easily transmissible through droplets (from sneezing, coughing
etc.), feces and other bodily discharges, and can be spread even by people without
symptoms (more here).
- Computing the case specific fatality rate is problematic (more here). Nevertheless, we know that COVID-19 is deadly. A fascinating comparison of Italy
and South Korea provides very good insights (more here).
So what to do? Just be careful, sensible, maintain basic hygiene- wash your hands,
wash your hands, wash your hands but don't panic. We will get through this, and hopefully,
have some fun while reaching our students with new powerful tools. As one of my students
noted, "its fun to be a geographer at this time." Just notice how the experience of
COVID-19 varies across geographic space (more here). I love working with you and appreciate our family. Let's wash our hands, stay calm,
and keep COVID-19 away. Photo Credit: everythinglubbock.com (here).
Dr. Joseph Oppong is a Professor in the UNT Department of Geography and the Environment and Associate
Vice Provost for Graduate Education and Academic Associate Dean of the UNT Toulouse
Graduate School.